Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Foreclosures Draw Private Equity as U.S. Rents Homes

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By John Gittelsohn | Bloomberg 1/31/2012

Private equity firms are jumping into distressed housing as the U.S. government plans to market 200,000 foreclosed homes as rentals to speed up the economic recovery.

GTIS Partners will spend $1 billion by 2016 acquiring single-family homes to manage as rentals, Thomas Shapiro, the fund's founder said. That followed announcements this month that GI Partners, a Menlo Park private equity fund, expects to invest $1 billion, and Los Angeles-based Oaktree Capital Management LP will spend $450 million on similar housing.

"It's a massive market," Shapiro said in a telephone interview from New York. "We're starting to see this as a billion dollar opportunity to buy rental housing."

Creating more single-family rental properties is one of a series of programs introduced by President Barack Obama's administration aimed at reviving the housing market. An S&P/Case-Shiller index (SPX) of property values in 20 cities has dropped 33 percent from its peak in July 2006 and 12 percent of homeowners with a mortgage are either delinquent or in foreclosure. Last week, the administration revised its Home Affordable Modification Program, offering government incentives for mortgage investors Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FMCC) when they forgive debt on homes that lost value as a way of preventing delinquent borrowers from losing their houses.
Increasing Rentals

Increasing rentals may reduce lenders' losses on foreclosed and surrendered properties and curb declines in home prices, according to a Federal Reserve study Chairman Ben S. Bernanke sent to Congress on Jan. 4. Private equity funds began focusing on these investments in September, after the administration asked for proposals to sell the government's inventory of foreclosed homes -- about half of all houses seized from delinquent borrowers.

The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values in 20 cities declined 3.7 percent from November 2010 after falling 3.4 percent in the year ended in October, according to data released today. Economists projected a 3.3 percent drop, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey.

Even as prices dropped, the "seeds to a recovery are being planted," Karl Case, co-creator of the measure, said today in an interview on Bloomberg Radio's "Bloomberg Surveillance," with Ken Prewitt and Tom Keene. "Efforts are underway to deal with a backlog of foreclosed properties," he said.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac, plans to complete initial transactions in the first quarter of this year, offering some of the 180,000 foreclosed homes in their inventory to private operators as rental properties, Corinne Russell, a spokeswoman, said in a telephone interview.
Public-Private Partnerships

The Federal Housing Administration, which also will participate in the rental program, had 32,170 real-estate owned homes seized from borrowers, also known as REOs, as of Dec. 31, according to spokesman Lemar Wooley.

Possible aspects of the program include public-private partnerships to share the risk and profits, "seller financing" guaranteed by the government and rent-to-own opportunities for tenants, according to a November memo.

"It marks the first time that institutional investors are really getting involved, and in the process providing a higher quality product to a tightening rental market," Oliver Chang, a Morgan Stanley analyst based in San Francisco, said in an e-mail last week.
$1 Trillion Liquidations

About 7.5 million homes with a current market value of $1 trillion will be liquidated through foreclosures or other distressed sales by 2016, according to an Oct. 27 report by Chang. That will add to the estimated 20 million single-family homes already operated as rentals, which have yielded annual returns averaging 8.1 percent since 1990, Chang's report said.

Rentals can produce cash flows, known as a capitalization rate or cap rate, that reduce losses more than reselling foreclosed homes at a time of weak demand, the Federal Reserve report said.

"Preliminary estimates suggest that about two-fifths of Fannie Mae's REO inventory would have a cap rate above 8 percent -- sufficiently high to indicate renting the property might deliver a better loss recovery than selling the property," the Fed paper said.

While there may be opportunities, investors should be cautious about borrowing to invest in markets such as Las Vegas (SPCSLV), where a transient population and economy dependent on a single industry like gaming, make it hard to see an exit strategy, Kenneth Hackel, managing director heading securitized products strategy for CRT Capital LLC, said in a telephone interview from Stamford, Connecticut yesterday.
Track Record

"For the kind of properties I looked at, and in most cases, capital markets aren't excited to finance the REO-to- Rental marketplace at this stage," said Hackel, who toured Las Vegas (SPCSLV) homes on the market this month. "Once you establish a track record and have some positive cash flow in place, then perhaps you can get some interest in having leverage. But I think as a first step, investors are best served by looking at this on an unlevered basis."

The U.S. homeownership rate was 66.3 percent for the quarter ending Sept. 30, as low as 1998 levels and down from a peak of 69.2 percent in December 2004, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. The fourth quarter report comes out today.

"New households have a much higher propensity to be renters," Thomas Lawler, a former economist with Fannie Mae who's now an independent housing consultant in Leesburg, Virginia. "And a lot of folks who are losing their homes to foreclosure are now renters."
Rental Demand

Demand for rental housing helped boost shares of the 12- member Bloomberg Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust index 13 percent over the past 12 months compared with a 2.1 percent gain for the S&P 500 Index. It's also attracting private equity funds to single-family homes, which historically have been an investment for small investors.

Cerberus Capital Management LP, Deutsche Bank AG, Fortress Investment Group LLC (FIG) , Starwood Capital Group LLC, TCW Group Inc. and UBS AG are among the financial firms that submitted responses to the federal request for information in September, according to a list obtained by Bloomberg through a Freedom of Information Act filing.

"We believe we'll easily be able to raise $1 billion this year in total," said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of Carrington Mortgage Holdings LLC in Santa Ana, California, which will manage the homes bought with Oaktree Capital's money. "The ultimate fund could be several times that."
Carrington Manages

Carrington currently manages more than 3,000 rental homes for Fannie Mae, mostly in California, Arizona, Nevada and Florida, Sharga said.

Single-family home rentals can yield cash flows that are 300 basis points, or 3 percentage points, higher than apartments, said Gregor Watson, principal of McKinley Capital Partners LLC of Oakland, California, which has invested $100 million in the past two years, buying more than 400 foreclosed homes in the San Francisco Bay Area and other western U.S. cities. McKinley's largest financial backer is Och-Ziff Capital (OZM) Management Group, a New York-based investment fund with $28.9 billion under management as of Nov. 1, Watson said. Jonathan Gasthalter, an outside spokesman for Och-Ziff declined to comment.

"This will be a new institutional asset class in the next 24 months," Watson said.
Forming a REIT

GTIS, which has $2 billion of assets, expects to hold its homes about five years, waiting for housing prices to recover before selling, Shapiro said. If housing prices don't rebound, GTIS can exit by forming a real estate investment trust with shares sold to investors attracted by the rental income, similar to REITS for multifamily, industrial or office properties, he said.

"Single family dwarfs any of those asset classes," Shapiro said. "When you think about the number of homes that are going to be rented and institutionally owned, they're going to become its own asset class."

GTIS, which has invested $225 million in partnerships with homebuilders such as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (HOV) since 2010, will hire in-house staff to manage the rental properties in each area, Shapiro said. He declined to disclose his expectations for returns on investment.

"We think the important thing is on the operations and management side as opposed to playing a numbers game, like I'm buying for 30 cents on the dollar to a 12 percent yield," he said.
Buying in Bulk

GTIS expects to buy homes in bulk from banks, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Shapiro said. Properties will also be bought individually at courthouse auctions and through short sales, when lenders agree to sell for less than the balance of the mortgage, he said.

GTIS will start buying in cities in Nevada, Arizona and California -- the states with the three highest foreclosure rates, according to RealtyTrac Inc. -- and Florida, which RealtyTrac ranked seventh in December, Shapiro said.

"The key is being able to efficiently manage these homes," he said. "That's why we're targeting select markets. Our intention is to rent them, to hold them for long term."

Monday, January 23, 2012

New rules will let investors refinance

New rules will let investors refinance

by Catherine Reagor - Jan. 20, 2012 03:24 PM
The Republic | azcentral.com

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are changing the rules in a way that could make metro Phoenix's many home investors very happy.

The new program that allows homeowners with mortgages held by those government-owned mortgage giants to refinance, no matter how underwater they are, now will include investors. When the expanded Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP, was announced in October, investors weren't going to be included.

But then federal officials realized that many people who don't live in a home they own are accidental investors. They can't sell because they owe much more on their mortgage than their house is currently worth. Some no longer can afford their mortgage, so they are renting out their house and living in a less-expensive rental. Other unintentional investors are people who had to move for jobs but couldn't sell their home and are now renting it out.

Most of metro Phoenix investors buying foreclosure homes are paying cash, so they don't need to refinance.

Housing-market advocates say the addition of investors with Fannie or Freddie loans to the new HARP is a good move by the government because it can help homeowners who are stuck and not professional investors.

Help for homeowners who owe more than 125 percent of what their house is worth will be available in March. Homeowners should call their lender or servicer now and see if they can get the application process going or even refinance under the expanded program now. Some banks are doing the risky refinancings and holding the loan until this spring, when they can hand it off to Fannie or Freddie through the new HARP.

President Barack Obama will be in metro Phoenix next week. He did unveil the federal housing plan, which includes the original HARP and loan-modification plan known as HAMP, when he spoke in Mesa in early 2009.

We'll see if he has something to say about the modified HARP plan, which could help tens of thousands of metro Phoenix residents.

Nearly half of the region's homeowners are underwater.

Homebuilding boost

New-home sales across the Phoenix area in 2011 hit their highest level at the end of the year, according to the "Phoenix Housing Market Letter."

In December, 855 new homes sold. That's nearly double the monthly rate in Phoenix for most of 2011. It could be that the supply of foreclosure and resale homes is at a seven-year low, or the nearly record low interest rates.

RL Brown and Greg Burger, publishers of the report, are presenting their 2012 forecast at a Web conference on Wednesday.

Recent new-home-sales numbers and the big drop in foreclosure homes for sale could mean a slight rebound in homebuilding across the region this year.

Arizona Property Management and Investments
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Thursday, December 22, 2011

10 Cities Where List Prices Soared Last Month

10 Cities Where List Prices Soared Last Month
Daily Real Estate News | Thursday, December 22, 2011

Median list prices nationwide have risen 4.05 percent on a year-over-year basis, according to November housing data of 146 metro areas from Realtor.com. Fewer cities are reporting year-over-year list price declines, “suggesting a growing optimism on the part of sellers about 2012 market conditions,” according to Realtor.com.

So where have prices risen the most in the last month? The following are the 10 cities that saw the largest median list price increases from October to November.

1. Central Fla.-Regional Statistical Area

Month-to-month median increase: 5.63 percent

Year-over-year increase: 14.27 percent

Median list price: $169,000
2. Phoenix-Mesa, Ariz.

Month-to-month increase: 4.46 percent

Year-over-year increase: 10.54 percent

Median list price: $164,700

3. Miami, Fla.

Month-to-month increase: 3.60 percent

Year-over-year increase: 29.50 percent

Median list price: $259,000
4. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.

Month-to-month increase: 3 percent

Year-over-year decrease: -2.50 percent

Median list price: $144,200
5. New York, N.Y.

Month-to-month increase: 2.71 percent

Year-over-year decrease: -2.57 percent

Median list price: $379,000
6. Fort Myers-Cape Coral, Fla.

Month-to-month increase: 2.69 percent

Year-over-year increase: 21.63 percent

Median list price: $224,900
7. Iowa City, Iowa

Month-to-month increase: 2.50 percent

Year-over-year increase: 3.02 percent

Median list price: $204,900
8. Tucson, Ariz.

Month-to-month increase: 2.41 percent

Year-over-year increase: 2.41 percent

Median list price: $174,000
9. Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla.

Month-to-month increase: 2.13 percent

Year-over-year increase: 16.56 percent

Median list price: $240,000
10. West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, Fla.

Month-to-month increase: 1.86 percent

Year-over-year increase: 15.26 percent

Median list price: $219,000

By Melissa Dittmann Tracey for REALTOR® Magazine’s Daily News

Arizona Property Management and Investments
If you are interested in purchasing investment properties or receiving a free quote for our property management services, please call us at (888)777.6664 for immediate assistance.

Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Phoenix-area declines in foreclosures, home supply bode well for 2012

Phoenix-area declines in foreclosures, home supply bode well for 2012

by Lesley Wright - Sept. 14, 2010 12:00 AM
The Arizona Republic

Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/local/articles/2010/09/14/20100914real-estate-scheme-sun-city.html#ixzz1gXJkavbg

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

BofA developing foreclosure rental programs to deal with distressed properties

BofA developing foreclosure rental programs to deal with distressed properties
by JON PRIOR
Housing Wire
Friday, December 9th, 2011, 3:35 pm

Bank of America is looking at a new program to rent a home back to the borrower after foreclosure.

"There are programs that we are quite interested in," said Ron Sturzenegger, who leads the bank's legacy asset servicing division, in an interview with HousingWire. "We are talking with investors that would come in and buy these houses and would lease them back to who would now be the now tenant."

In February, BofA formed the division to handle the servicing for delinquent mortgages, loans no longer being written, and to sort out outstanding representation and warranty claims. Currently, more than 35,000 employees at the bank are sorting through 1.1 million loans 60 days delinquent or worse, according to its third-quarter financial statement.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency is working on an REO rental program for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It received more than 4,000 ideas on how to do it.

But private banks own $50.4 billion worth of REO properties, too, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., and millions of these homes are sitting vacant.

Sturzenegger described how their idea would work.

"We are looking at programs where you can capture somebody before the REO process and offer a deed-for-lease. We would go to the customer and say, 'We'll do a short sale. Will you be interested in leasing your property back? We're still going to sell the property. You will no longer be the owner. But you can be a tenant now in that same property and save you from moving on,'" he said.

Sturzenegger stressed the bank would still sell the REO as before in areas where there is a market for them and they can still get reasonable bids. But some areas are so saturated with inventory, there isn't enough investor or homebuyer demand and properties can sit for years uninhabited.

Rick Sharga, the executive vice president at Carrington Mortgage Holdings, said in an interview that many firms, including Carrington are preparing to participate.

"We already have the infrastructure and assets in place to participate effectively," he said. "Everyone is waiting on final direction from the FHFA."

Sturzenegger stressed the private program at BofA is in its infancy.

"It's in the very early stages," he said.

Jacob Gaffney contributed to this report.

Arizona Property Management and Investments
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Monday, December 12, 2011

After drop, home prices on the rise in Valley

After drop, home prices on the rise in Valley
by Catherine Reagor - Dec. 9, 2011 04:04 PM
The Arizona Republic

In August, as metro Phoenix home prices dipped to another new low, some real-estate analysts predicted the area's home values would keep falling. Other analysts disagreed, saying all the indicators, besides home prices, were heading in the right direction for values to climb before year's end.

The median price for an existing Phoenix-area home climbed to $119,900 in November, according to a new report from the Information Market. It's the region's highest median home price since November 2010.

In October, Phoenix's median home price was $115,000, which is where it had hovered most of the first half of this year. But when it fell to $112,000 in August, some market watchers thought it would drop all the way down to $100,000 by the end of this year. Of course, some panic ensued.

But the housing analysts who were watching foreclosures fall, sales climb ahead of last year's pace and listings plummet, stood firm in their opinion that home prices would begin to rise again.

During the past few months, not only short-sale prices but the prices for foreclosure resales known as REOs, or real-estate owned, have been steadily climbing. In some areas of metro Phoenix, REOs are now selling for more than houses sold through lender-approved short-sale deals. In 2008 and 2009, REOs were dragging down the area's home values as lenders took back houses through foreclosure and then resold them quickly for bargain prices to get the properties off their books.

Home prices are also climbing at foreclosure auctions, also known as trustee sales, held daily in front of the Maricopa County Courthouse. The auctions are Arizona's method for lenders to foreclose.

In 2008, when foreclosures started to climb, few properties sold at these trustee auctions. Back then, lenders weren't lowering prices beyond what was owed on a house, so investors weren't interested in purchasing a house for at least twice what it was actually worth. But once lenders started lowering prices to much less than what they were owed, bidding picked up quickly.

Competition is also driving up prices at the trustee auctions. Each month this year, more than 1,000 foreclosure homes have been bought at Maricopa County trustee auctions. That compares with 100 per month at the beginning of the crash.

Arizona Property Management and Investments
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Thursday, December 8, 2011

Phoenix: Good Time to Buy?

Good Time to Buy? Housing Cheaper to Own vs. Rent in 12 U.S. Metro Areas: WSJ
By Peter Gorenstein | Daily Ticker – Mon, Nov 28, 2011 12:30 PM EST

Five years after the market peaked, the housing market remains depressed. October new home sales, released this morning, totaled 307,000, slightly below estimates. Meanwhile, prices rose slightly.

But, as your real estate broker will happily mention - 'Now is a great time to buy!' Unlike 2007, when that obviously was not the case for most, now it might actually be true. Ironically, the reluctance for many to buy a home is what makes it a good (relatively) time to purchase.

As Aaron and Henry discuss in the accompanying clip, owning a home is now more affordable than any time in the last 15 years, based on a new Wall Street Journal survey. In fact -- with the average price of a home $242,300 -- it is now cheaper to own than rent in 12 metro areas including Atlanta, Chicago, Detroit, Las Vegas, Miami, Orlando and Phoenix.

As the WSJ article points out, the discrepancy between buying and renting can be extreme in some areas:

"In Atlanta, which had the most favorable values for owning versus renting, the monthly payment on the average home was $539 assuming a 20% down payment during the third quarter. By contrast, the average asking rent stood at $840."

Sagging prices and sub-4% interest on a 30-year fixed mortgage are the biggest drivers behind the trend of record housing affordability. However, unlike the glory days when buying a home merely took a pulse, securing a loan today is much tougher. And, flipping property is a dead game.

Arizona Property Management and Investments
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Inflation will soar, dollar will fall and home prices and rents will continue to rise in Phoenix Metro.

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